Taking Stock of Contribution Analysis

Reflecting on the Past to Inform the Future

Authors

  • Steffen Bohni Nielsen National Research Centre for the Working Environment, Copenhagen, Denmark https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1077-5398
  • Sebastian Lemire Strada Education Foundation, Indianapolis, Indiana

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3138/cjpe-2024-0044

Keywords:

causation, contribution analysis, research on evaluation, theory-based evaluation, theory of change

Abstract

Over the past two decades, contribution analysis (CA) has attracted considerable attention as a theory-based evaluation a roach. Over the years, CA has been a lied across a broad and still broadening range of settings and contexts. Informed by a comprehensive review of published articles on CA, this article examines the main methodological and theoretical developments of CA. The findings suggest that developments over the past 10 years have focused on methodological improvements and explication of the theoretical foundation for making contribution claims. The authors suggest avenues for further development of CA, including broadening the empirical base of CA applications and developing quality standards for CA.

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Published

2026-05-21

How to Cite

Bohni Nielsen, S., & Lemire, S. (2026). Taking Stock of Contribution Analysis: Reflecting on the Past to Inform the Future. Canadian Journal of Program Evaluation, 40(1), 1–35. https://doi.org/10.3138/cjpe-2024-0044

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